Wage Pressure
March 25, 2013
Global Unemployment The phenomenon of growing unemployment across the world has become a regular feature across daily news stories. This is not restricted to one nation […]
February 14, 2012
The relentless rise of Chinese telecom equipment and OEM companies has massacared telecom jobs in the West with major companies like Nokia, Alcatel and others firing in the thousands. Note Huawei and ZTE have become the nemisis of the telecom equipment makers which are showing losses in the last few years. These companies are not managing to compete with the low cost engineer advantage of the Chinese firms . Nokia is also firing thousands in its western factories in Poland and other places as it moves production to Asian factories. Note while Nokia has become unprofitable to other causes like Apple and Android, low cost phones from Asia is the biggest factor in its demise as well.
February 7, 2012
Global Stock Brokers across continents are either firing hundreds of workers or are totally closing down. The reasons for this downsizing of operations by brokerages is
a) The Financial Industry has become too large to the size of the global economy particuarly in countries like USA
b) The reduction in risk and capital means that big financial companies are reducing and selling their operations
c) The Broking Sector has seen a Peak in 2008 and now the only place to go for the next few years is Down
February 2, 2012
Apple recently reported astounding financial results in which profits grew by an awe inspiring 50% on a huge basis with Net Profits Margin of 30% which is crazy for a company of Apple's size. It generates massive cash flows and has over $100 billion in its cash war chest. While there are a number of reasons which makes Apple one of the most successful and profitable companies in world history, the global oversupply of labor is one of the chief reasons which is overlooked at .
January 14, 2012
Australia & New Zealand Banking Group , is going to cut 900 jobs are the Australian real estate market slumps. Financial Jobs are facing a carnage with banks cutting down left , right and centre .ANZ which is one of the 4 largest banks in Australia joins its couterparts around the world in sharply cutting banker jobs as the global slowdown bits the financial industry. Note the outlook in the Financial Industry is that of a Depression even as the world economy faces some hiccups from the European Debt Crisis . Real Estate Markets have been distorted globally by bad regulation , low interest rates etc. While China is seeing the first signs of a troubled real estate market, USA has been feeling the effects since the last 3-4 years. Australia has also joined in with the popping of the real estate bubble. Alongwith construction and real estate companies , financial companies who make the real estate mortgages are the worst hit in general.
January 12, 2012
The Financial Industry will shed another 150,000 jobs according to Richard Bove, an analyst at Rochdale Securities LLC . Royal Bank of Scotland the bankrupt UK bank that was taken over the British government is going to kill a number of investment banking divisions and will fire 3500 people. RBS has already fired thousand before in wholesale and corporate banking . Now RBS will completely exit from a number of divisions like M&A, Cash Equities etc. which will mean thousands of firings . In an environment when financial jobs are scarce , this means that the fired thousands will have a tough time getting into the workforce again.RBS is going to fire 3500 people in addition to 2000 already announced. This would bring down the 24,000 pre crisis headcount by almost 45% .
January 9, 2012
Bank of America had already announced thousands of job cuts earlier.Today it cut 20% of its Asian MDs as it tries to cope with the sinking of investment banking revenues.Other investment banks like RBS,Nomura,BNP Paribas,Societe Generale are also cutting jobs with a vengeance.Goldman Sachs also announced big time salary cuts for its partners and fixed income trading.
January 7, 2012
Financial Jobs are being let go in the tens of thousands by European and USA Financial Institutions. The Financial Industry has become too huge as a percentage of the global economy with any value creation to say something like the IT industry. The share of the market cap of the stock market had become too high during the boom boom years of 2008 and it is continuing to go down.Despite the best (some would say the worst) effort of the governments to prop up the Too Big to Fail Banks,jobs are being let go as there is not enough work. European Banks are shrinking their balance sheets as they are too leveraged and insolvent. Without the ECB crutch,almost all of them would go under.
January 5, 2012
Seeing Stocks Markets these days would make one think that the world economy has managed surpass the problems of the European Union Debt Crisis,the slowing of China,India's governance led slowdown etc.However big global companies continue to bunker down reducing job headcount and reducing investment.Despite record levels of cash and big profits,MNCs are not increasing their investment giving a thumbs down to efforts by policymakers to boost growth through record low interest rates.RBS has been rumored to cut 10,000 jobs in its investment banking division while Pepsi which has a mostly recession proof business too is cutting down.India's beleagured airline Kingfisher is set to cut 2000 jobs as well.
April 16, 2011
Labor Cost Arbitrage is the biggest reason for the growth of the Indian outsourcing industry.The outsourcing revolution in India which started though technology outsourcing has spread to the legal,medical and other fields as well.Medical Billing,Coding and Transcription has become a big business besides Legal Outsourcing of work.Globalization of finance and trade has been much more rapid than the globalization of labor which faces many hurdles.The spread of Internet and improvement in Communications has made this hurdle moot as many high cost services in India are being performed virtually over the Internet.However this arbitrage which has bought billions in profits to global corporations and rise of new companies such as Infosys,TCS and others is disappearing.Rising Wage Inflation in India caused by a multitude of factors including the Bernanke Money Printing has led to shrinking of the margins.
March 4, 2011
Income Inequality and unemployment amongst white collar workers is a massive growing under-appreciated problem in India and China.These countries despite growing tremendously have built in severe distortions which are only becoming bigger by the day.Graduates in both countries increasingly find a massive demand deficit for their services while income inequality grows bigger as billionaires build billion dollar houses amidst people earning less than $2 day.
February 7, 2011
India's Fast 8-9% GDP Growth has become the envy of the developed world groping with anemic growth rates of 1-2% and rising sovereign debt burdens.Asia led by India and China are the new engines of growth of the global economy.However a close examination of the growth shows the rising strains and inequality.Most of the growth in India has been a jobless one with capital intensive sectors leading the way.While some service sectors like the IT and BPO Industry have also grown at a rapid pace,it has only affected a minuscule portion of the Indian population.The rest continue to wallow in misery and poverty which is reflected in the growth of Naxalism.India's education infrastructure is quite woeful with majority of graduates unemployable.This has led to a growing army of unemployed half education youth fighting to get low end jobs.Unlike China,India's industry forms just 30% of India's GDP and majority are still employed in agriculture.Most of India's service industry too constitutes of low value add,low paying jobs.With growing communication and information,the few good low end jobs on offer leads to a desperate jostling.Public sector jobs in railways,paramilitary are especially lucrative offering job security and a decent social position.This has led to increasing clashes.
January 25, 2011
Inflation in India is raging at double digit levels as it is in most of the other countries in Asia.While Food Inflation has been hogging the headlines as Onion Prices become costlier than the daily earnings of the majority of Indians,other commodities are becoming expensive as well.Tyre Companies in India have seen their margins and profits collapse on the back of higher natural rubber prices.This is despite the explosive growth being seen in the automobile sector in India.JK Tyres and Ceat reported their quarter results and both were equally bad with stock prices taking a major hit.Consumer giant HLL which is a subsidiary of the Unilever Group and the largest consumer company in India also saw its stock price tumble.HLL too has been hurt by higher input commodity costs.While volume growth was excellent,the margins got compressed as input prices increased faster than output prices.Note the Indian stock market has fallen more than 10% of its peak even as developed markets are seeing higher peaks.Other Asian markets like Indonesia,Thailand and others too have fallen as high inflation hurts the prospects of companies here.The Central Bank in India RBI raised the intrest rates by 25 bps which some consider as too low.Like other central banks in Asia,India too seems helpless to fight the inflationary pressures brought upon by the higher commodity prices fueled by Bernake money printing.
September 8, 2010
Increasing College Education in Developing Countries has led to Unemployement and Low Wages for White Collar Workers.The increasing number of people armed with College Degrees has […]
September 5, 2010
Now Japan has warned China that it will lose FDI if it continues to use such policies against foreign companies.Recent labor unrest in Honda and Toyota factories have become a sticking point for the Japanese.Opaque and confusing rules,export controls over rare earth minerals and heavily biased judiciary have made life quite difficult for the foreign companies.The European Union on the other hand has complained of the lack of access to the Chinese market.Rules meant to deter foreign investment has made EU companies look elsewhere.
August 10, 2010
The new law will impose a $2000 annual via fee for companies with more than 50% of its employees in the US who are working on visas.The law is specifically targeted at Indian IT companies from the letter and spirit of the law.It remains to be seen how this affects the growing closeness in India-USA relations.Though India has shown maturity by not coming out with a sharp retaliatory action,it will sour relations.
July 29, 2010
Bangladesh recently witnessed violent protests by textile workers who are being forced to work for wages below $1/day even as inflation rages at more than 10% […]
July 17, 2010
India’s Mahatma Gandhi National Rural Employment Guarantee Scheme or MGNREGA as it is popularly known is leading to labor shortages around the country.The NREGA scheme which […]
July 17, 2010
The Global Financial Crisis is truly global in its character of inflicting misery and impoverishment amongst workers.Bangladesh and US which are two highly disparate countries in […]
July 14, 2010
Nokia is a company under siege from multiple forces.On the global stage,it is fasting losing brand value,marketshare and profits under competition from Technology Giants Google and […]
July 5, 2010
China’s powerful Economic Growth Engine is showing definite signs of a major Moderation.Earlier reports indicated a sharp slowdown in Industrial PMI levels even as a US […]
July 2, 2010
The problems of Multinational Corporations (MNCs) operating in China seems to be growing by the day.Once the darling of MNCs around the world due to its […]
July 2, 2010
In Seven Reasons that China’s Economy might be slowing down, I had described the factors that might lead the super strong Chinese growth engine to slow […]
June 22, 2010
Bangladesh is one of the world’s poorest countries with a high population density.Carved out of erstwhile Pakistan,this predominantly Muslim country faces huge poverty like other countries […]
June 17, 2010
Labor shortage and improved opportunities for workers driving up wages China’s massive manufacturing base near the Eastern coast has been driven by cheap migrant labor from […]
May 30, 2010
The spectacular growth in Asian economies like China,South Korea,HK,Taiwan over the last two decades has raised millions from poverty to a middle class life.This has led […]
May 16, 2010
One of my theories is that a lot of distortions and opportunities for arbitrage that we are seeing in the world today is because “Labor is […]
May 1, 2010
One of my pet theories is that they we see a lot of distortions and oppurtunities for arbitrage is because labor is not globalized while capital […]